Match preview
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham prediction
Sheffield Utd
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
13 in the table · 60 pts from 46
Birmingham
10 in the table · 64 pts from 46
Sat, Aug 15, 12:30 PM
Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sheffield Utd the more likely winner at 42%, against 31% for Birmingham and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Sheffield Utd have scored in 35 of 46 league games this season, Birmingham in 35 of 46.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sheffield Utd win
42%
Draw
28%
Birmingham win
31%
What our model expects
Sheffield UtdPer gameBirminghamNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.2
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Sheffield Utd clean sheet
29%
Birmingham clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Cards 3.8
16% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Sheffield Utd 2.0 + Birmingham 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sheffield Utd
At home- 1.35
- pts/game
- 1.65
- scored
- 1.43
- conceded
- Scored in 35 of 46
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Birmingham
Away- 0.87
- pts/game
- 0.78
- scored
- 1.48
- conceded
- Scored in 35 of 46
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Sheffield Utd · Recent form
- W3-0Mansfield Town
- D0-0VfL Bochum
- W2-0Rotherham
- W3-1Huddersfield
- W2-1Levante
Birmingham · Recent form
- W1-0Swansea
- D2-2Barcelona
- W2-1Crewe
- W1-0Burton Albion
- W3-0Solihull Moors
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Golazo's model makes Sheffield Utd the more likely winner at 42%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
More Championship matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.