Match preview
Norwich vs West Brom prediction
Norwich
West Brom
Norwich
9 in the table · 65 pts from 46
West Brom
21 in the table · 51 pts from 46
Sat, Aug 15, 10:00 AM
Carrow Road, Norwich
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Norwich the more likely winner at 48%, against 23% for West Brom and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 48%. Behind that: Norwich have scored in 37 of 46 league games this season, West Brom in 31 of 46.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Norwich win
48%
Draw
29%
West Brom win
23%
What our model expects
NorwichPer gameWest BromNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.9
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Norwich clean sheet
39%
West Brom clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Norwich 1.8 + West Brom 2.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Norwich
At home- 1.3
- pts/game
- 1.17
- scored
- 1.22
- conceded
- Scored in 37 of 46
- Clean sheet in 17%
When their goals arrive
West Brom
Away- 0.83
- pts/game
- 0.87
- scored
- 1.43
- conceded
- Scored in 31 of 46
- Clean sheet in 26%
When their goals arrive
Norwich · Recent form
- W4-1Milton Keynes Dons
- D0-0Cambridge United
- L1-2Osasuna
- W2-0Fulham
- D0-0AFC Wimbledon
West Brom · Recent form
- W4-1Rotherham
- W2-0Peterborough
- W4-1Shrewsbury
- W4-1Bromley
- W3-0Sheffield Wednesday
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Norwich vs West Brom?
Golazo's model makes Norwich the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Norwich vs West Brom?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Norwich vs West Brom?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 48%, and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
More Championship matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.