Match preview

Bolton vs Preston prediction

Bolton
v
Preston
662014
BoltonDrawPreston
Goals expectedBoth teams score59%Over 2.5 goals65%Total goals3.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Bolton

Preston

14 in the table · 60 pts from 46

Sat, Aug 15, 07:30 AM

Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Bolton the more likely winner at 66%, against 14% for Preston and 20% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Bolton win

66%

Draw

20%

Preston win

14%

Most likely scorelines2110%2010%119%

What our model expects

BoltonPer gamePreston
LWDDWLast 5DLLLL
2.3Expected goals1.0
12.8Shots11.6
2.4Cards2.6
5.4Corners5.0
51Possession49

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.3 1

Total goals 3.4

Both teams score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

Over 1.5 goals

86%

Bolton clean sheet

36%

Preston clean sheet

10%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.4

    24% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Bolton 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded · Preston 1.2 / 1.8 per game

Corners

League average 5

Bolton5.4
Preston5

Cards

League average 2.25

Bolton2.4
Preston2.6

Shots

League average 12.5

Bolton12.8
Preston11.6

Possession

Bolton51
Preston49

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Preston

Away
1.26
pts/game
1.17
scored
1.39
conceded
  • Scored in 34 of 46
  • Clean sheet in 17%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Bolton · Recent form

  • L0-1Sheffield Wednesday
  • W1-0NAC Breda
  • D1-1Fleetwood Town
  • D0-0Everton
  • W3-1Oldham

Preston · Recent form

  • D1-1Huddersfield
  • L0-1Stockport County
  • L2-3Bradford
  • L0-3Marine
  • L0-1Cambridge United

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Bolton vs Preston?

Golazo's model makes Bolton the more likely winner at 66%, with the draw at 20%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Bolton vs Preston?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Bolton vs Preston?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

More Championship matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.