Match preview
Bolton vs Preston prediction
Bolton
PrestonBolton
Preston
14 in the table · 60 pts from 46
Sat, Aug 15, 07:30 AM
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Bolton the more likely winner at 66%, against 14% for Preston and 20% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Bolton win
66%
Draw
20%
Preston win
14%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.3 – 1
Total goals 3.4
Both teams score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Bolton clean sheet
36%
Preston clean sheet
10%
What stands out
Total goals 3.4
24% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Bolton 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded · Preston 1.2 / 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Preston
Away- 1.26
- pts/game
- 1.17
- scored
- 1.39
- conceded
- Scored in 34 of 46
- Clean sheet in 17%
When their goals arrive
Bolton · Recent form
- L0-1Sheffield Wednesday
- W1-0NAC Breda
- D1-1Fleetwood Town
- D0-0Everton
- W3-1Oldham
Preston · Recent form
- D1-1Huddersfield
- L0-1Stockport County
- L2-3Bradford
- L0-3Marine
- L0-1Cambridge United
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Bolton vs Preston?
Golazo's model makes Bolton the more likely winner at 66%, with the draw at 20%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Bolton vs Preston?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Bolton vs Preston?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
More Championship matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.