Match preview

Wolves vs Blackburn prediction

Wolves
v
Blackburn
363330
WolvesDrawBlackburn
Goals expectedBoth teams score41%Over 2.5 goals33%Total goals2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Wolves

Blackburn

20 in the table · 52 pts from 46

Fri, Aug 14, 03:00 PM

Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Wolves the more likely winner at 36%, against 30% for Blackburn and 33% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 41%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Wolves win

36%

Draw

33%

Blackburn win

30%

Most likely scorelines1115%0015%1013%

What our model expects

WolvesPer gameBlackburn
WWWLWLast 5WDWLW
1.1Expected goals0.9
5.9Corners5.2
49Possession51
14.4Shots14.9
2.0Cards2.0

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.1 0.9

Total goals 2

Both teams score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Over 1.5 goals

61%

Wolves clean sheet

39%

Blackburn clean sheet

34%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2

    26% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Wolves 1.2 scored / 1.3 conceded · Blackburn 1.1 / 1.1 per game

  • Offsides 4.6

    32% above a typical match · League average 3.5

    Wolves 2.8 + Blackburn 1.8 per game

Corners

League average 5

Wolves5.9
Blackburn5.2

Cards

League average 2.25

Wolves2
Blackburn2

Shots

League average 12.5

Wolves14.4
Blackburn14.9

Possession

Wolves49
Blackburn51

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Blackburn

Away
1.35
pts/game
1
scored
1.26
conceded
  • Scored in 30 of 46
  • Clean sheet in 30%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Wolves · Recent form

  • W3-0Port Vale
  • W3-0Racing Santander
  • W2-0Doncaster
  • L1-2Real Sociedad
  • W1-0Maidenhead

Blackburn · Recent form

  • W2-1Burton Albion
  • D1-1Huddersfield
  • W2-0Strasbourg
  • L0-3Nottingham Forest
  • W3-0Barnsley

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Wolves vs Blackburn?

Golazo's model makes Wolves the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 33%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Wolves vs Blackburn?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Wolves vs Blackburn?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 41%, and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

All Championship fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.