Match preview
Bristol City vs Millwall prediction
Bristol City
Millwall
Bristol City
12 in the table · 62 pts from 46
Millwall
3 in the table · 83 pts from 46
Sat, Aug 15, 10:00 AM
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Bristol City 35%, the draw 30%, Millwall 35%. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 50%. Behind that: Bristol City have scored in 31 of 46 league games this season, Millwall in 38 of 48.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Bristol City win
35%
Draw
30%
Millwall win
35%
What our model expects
Bristol CityPer gameMillwallNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.2
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Bristol City clean sheet
30%
Millwall clean sheet
30%
What stands out
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Bristol City 1.6 + Millwall 2.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Bristol City
At home- 1.35
- pts/game
- 1.43
- scored
- 1.35
- conceded
- Scored in 31 of 46
- Clean sheet in 35%
When their goals arrive
Millwall
Away- 1.75
- pts/game
- 1.29
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 38 of 48
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Bristol City · Recent form
- L0-1Walsall
- D1-1Exeter City
- D0-0Plymouth
- W4-1Newcastle
- L2-3Forest Green
Millwall · Recent form
- D1-1QPR
- W1-0Antwerp
- D1-1Bromley
- L0-1Stevenage
- L0-1Gillingham
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Bristol City vs Millwall?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Bristol City 35%, the draw 30%, Millwall 35%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Bristol City vs Millwall?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Millwall?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.