Match preview
Portsmouth vs QPR prediction
Portsmouth
QPR
Portsmouth
18 in the table · 55 pts from 46
QPR
15 in the table · 58 pts from 46
Sat, Aug 15, 10:00 AM
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Portsmouth the more likely winner at 40%, against 32% for QPR and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: Portsmouth have scored in 33 of 46 league games this season, QPR in 33 of 46.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Portsmouth win
40%
Draw
28%
QPR win
32%
What our model expects
PortsmouthPer gameQPRNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.3
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Portsmouth clean sheet
28%
QPR clean sheet
23%
Corners
League average 5
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Portsmouth
At home- 1.3
- pts/game
- 1.09
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 33 of 46
- Clean sheet in 26%
When their goals arrive
QPR
Away- 1.09
- pts/game
- 0.91
- scored
- 1.57
- conceded
- Scored in 33 of 46
- Clean sheet in 26%
When their goals arrive
Portsmouth · Recent form
- L1-3West Ham
- D0-0SV Darmstadt 98
- D1-1Farnborough
- L1-3Wycombe
- D1-1Bristol Rovers
QPR · Recent form
- D1-1Millwall
- W3-2AFC Wimbledon
- W7-0Bromley
- W3-2Fiorentina
- W1-0Wycombe
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Portsmouth vs QPR?
Golazo's model makes Portsmouth the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Portsmouth vs QPR?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs QPR?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
More Championship matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.