Match preview

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln prediction

Middlesbrough
v
Lincoln
352837
MiddlesbroughDrawLincoln
Goals expectedBoth teams score58%Over 2.5 goals53%Total goals2.8
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Middlesbrough

5 in the table · 80 pts from 46

Lincoln

Sat, Aug 15, 10:00 AM

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Middlesbrough 35%, the draw 28%, Lincoln 37%. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Middlesbrough win

35%

Draw

28%

Lincoln win

37%

Most likely scorelines1–113%1–28%2–18%

What our model expects

MiddlesbroughPer gameLincoln
WDLDLLast 5WLWLL
5.4Corners4.6
2.0Cards2.2
52Possession48
13.2Shots12.4
1.4Expected goals1.4

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 – 1.4

Total goals 2.8

Both teams score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

Over 1.5 goals

78%

Middlesbrough clean sheet

24%

Lincoln clean sheet

25%

Corners

League average 5

Middlesbrough5.4
Lincoln4.6

Cards

League average 2.25

Middlesbrough2
Lincoln2.2

Shots

League average 12.5

Middlesbrough13.2
Lincoln12.4

Possession

Middlesbrough52
Lincoln48

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Middlesbrough

At home
1.79
pts/game
1.42
scored
0.75
conceded
  • Scored in 36 of 49
  • Clean sheet in 42%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Middlesbrough · Recent form

  • W1-0Wrexham
  • D3-3Espanyol
  • L1-3Huddersfield
  • D1-1Celtic
  • L0-1Hull City

Lincoln · Recent form

  • W2-1Derby
  • L0-3Barnsley
  • W1-0Doncaster
  • L1-5Grimsby
  • L0-2Leyton Orient

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

See the full recordHow it works

Common questions

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Middlesbrough 35%, the draw 28%, Lincoln 37%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

More Championship matches

All Championship fixtures and the table →

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.