Match preview
Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan prediction
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sun, Aug 16, 02:00 PM
Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Huracan the more likely winner at 40%, against 29% for Sarmiento Junin and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: Sarmiento Junin have scored in 14 of 20 league games this season, Huracan in 15 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sarmiento Junin win
29%
Draw
31%
Huracan win
40%
What our model expects
Sarmiento JuninPer gameHuracanNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.2
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Sarmiento Junin clean sheet
29%
Huracan clean sheet
36%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
15% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Sarmiento Junin 1.1 scored / 1.4 conceded · Huracan 1.1 / 0.9 per game
Fouls 24.1
15% above a typical match · League average 21
Sarmiento Junin 11.3 + Huracan 12.8 per game
Offsides 2.9
17% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Sarmiento Junin 1.8 + Huracan 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Caicedo
Huracan
33%
Shots
J. Marabel
Sarmiento Junin
1.8
Sarmiento Junin · on target
J. Marabel
Sarmiento Junin
0.9
Huracan · on target
J. Caicedo
Huracan
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sarmiento Junin
At home- 1.9
- pts/game
- 1.3
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 20
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Huracan
Away- 1.25
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0.83
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 22
- Clean sheet in 42%
When their goals arrive
Sarmiento Junin · Recent form
- W2-1Atletico Tucuman
- W2-1Independ. Rivadavia
- L2-3Banfield
- L2-3Argentinos JRS
- L0-2Boca Juniors
Huracan · Recent form
- W2-0San Lorenzo
- D0-0Atletico Tucuman
- L1-2Independ. Rivadavia
- W1-0Banfield
- L0-1Barracas Central
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan?
Golazo's model makes Huracan the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.