Match preview
Aldosivi vs Tigre prediction
Aldosivi
Tigre
Aldosivi
Tigre
Sat, Aug 15, 01:30 PM
Mar del Plata
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Tigre the more likely winner at 45%, against 20% for Aldosivi and 34% for the draw. It projects 1.8 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%, and puts both teams scoring at 34%. Behind that: Aldosivi have scored in 9 of 20 league games this season, Tigre in 13 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Aldosivi win
20%
Draw
34%
Tigre win
45%
What our model expects
AldosiviPer gameTigreNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.7 – 1.1
Total goals 1.8
Both teams score
34%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Over 1.5 goals
55%
Aldosivi clean sheet
32%
Tigre clean sheet
51%
What stands out
Total goals 1.8
33% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Aldosivi 0.9 scored / 1.3 conceded · Tigre 1.0 / 0.9 per game
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Aldosivi 1.8 + Tigre 2.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Romero
Tigre
40%
Shots
D. Romero
Tigre
2.6
Aldosivi · on target
N. Cordero
Aldosivi
0.6
Tigre · on target
D. Romero
Tigre
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Aldosivi
At home- 0.78
- pts/game
- 0.44
- scored
- 0.78
- conceded
- Scored in 9 of 20
- Clean sheet in 44%
When their goals arrive
Tigre
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0.9
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Aldosivi · Recent form
- L1-2Rosario Central
- L1-2Gimnasia L.P.
- L0-1Barracas Central
- D1-1Defensa Y Justicia
- W3-1River Plate
Tigre · Recent form
- W1-0River Plate
- D0-0Belgrano Cordoba
- W3-1Racing Club
- L1-2Club Nacional
- L0-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Aldosivi vs Tigre?
Golazo's model makes Tigre the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Aldosivi vs Tigre?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 18%. The model projects 1.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Tigre?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 34%, and over 2.5 goals at 27%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.