Match preview

Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus prediction

Talleres Cordoba
v
Lanus
433225
Talleres CordobaDrawLanus
Goals expectedBoth teams score42%Over 2.5 goals35%Total goals2.1
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Talleres Cordoba

4 in the table · 26 pts from 16

Lanus

6 in the table · 24 pts from 16

Tue, Aug 11, 08:00 PM

Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Talleres Cordoba the more likely winner at 43%, against 25% for Lanus and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 42%. Behind that: Talleres Cordoba have scored in 13 of 20 league games this season, Lanus in 12 of 20.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Talleres Cordoba win

43%

Draw

32%

Lanus win

25%

Most likely scorelines1114%0014%1014%

What our model expects

Talleres CordobaPer gameLanus
WLLLLLast 5LLLWW
1.0Conceded1.4
1.2Expected goals0.9
1.44Points per game1.10
2.9Cards2.6
1.1Scored1.0
13.8Shots12.9
5.2Corners4.9
50Possession50

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.2 0.9

Total goals 2.1

Both teams score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Over 1.5 goals

63%

Talleres Cordoba clean sheet

42%

Lanus clean sheet

30%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2.1

    23% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Talleres Cordoba 1.1 scored / 1.0 conceded · Lanus 0.7 / 1.1 per game

  • Cards 5.4

    21% above a typical match · League average 4.5

    Talleres Cordoba 2.9 + Lanus 2.6 per game

  • Offsides 4.1

    18% above a typical match · League average 3.5

    Talleres Cordoba 2.0 + Lanus 2.1 per game

Corners

League average 5

Talleres Cordoba5.2
Lanus4.9

Cards

League average 2.25

Talleres Cordoba2.9
Lanus2.6

Shots

League average 12.5

Talleres Cordoba13.8
Lanus12.9

Possession

Talleres Cordoba50
Lanus50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

V. Dávila

Talleres Cordoba

31%

Shots

M. Moreno

Lanus

2.2

Talleres Cordoba · on target

V. Dávila

Talleres Cordoba

1.1

Lanus · on target

M. Moreno

Lanus

1.3

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Talleres Cordoba

At home
1.44
pts/game
1.11
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 20
  • Clean sheet in 33%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Lanus

Away
1.1
pts/game
1
scored
1.4
conceded
  • Scored in 12 of 20
  • Clean sheet in 20%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Talleres Cordoba · Recent form

  • W4-0Platense
  • L1-3Velez Sarsfield
  • L0-1Newells Old Boys
  • L0-3Atletico Tucuman
  • L0-1Belgrano Cordoba

Lanus · Recent form

  • L1-2Union Santa Fe
  • L0-1Instituto Cordoba
  • L0-4Cienciano
  • W1-0San Lorenzo
  • W2-0Cienciano

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus?

Golazo's model makes Talleres Cordoba the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 42%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

More Liga Profesional matches

All Liga Profesional fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.