Match preview
San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe prediction
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
7 in the table · 22 pts from 16
Union Santa Fe
8 in the table · 21 pts from 16
Sat, Aug 15, 01:30 PM
Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: San Lorenzo 35%, the draw 31%, Union Santa Fe 34%. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: San Lorenzo have scored in 13 of 21 league games this season, Union Santa Fe in 15 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
San Lorenzo win
35%
Draw
31%
Union Santa Fe win
34%
What our model expects
San LorenzoPer gameUnion Santa FeNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.2
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
San Lorenzo clean sheet
31%
Union Santa Fe clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
13% below a typical match · League average 2.7
San Lorenzo 1.1 scored / 1.0 conceded · Union Santa Fe 1.4 / 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
34%
Shots
M. Estigarribia
Union Santa Fe
2.5
San Lorenzo · on target
R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
1.4
Union Santa Fe · on target
C. Tarragona
Union Santa Fe
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
San Lorenzo
At home- 1.4
- pts/game
- 1.1
- scored
- 1.3
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 21
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Union Santa Fe
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1.42
- scored
- 1.83
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 21
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
San Lorenzo · Recent form
- L0-2Huracan
- L0-1Central Cordoba de Santiago
- W1-0Gimnasia M.
- L0-1Lanus
- D1-1Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe · Recent form
- W2-1Lanus
- L0-2Gimnasia M.
- D2-2Platense
- L0-2Independiente
- L0-2Belgrano Cordoba
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: San Lorenzo 35%, the draw 31%, Union Santa Fe 34%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.