Match preview
Belgrano Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Sat, Aug 15, 06:00 PM
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Belgrano Cordoba the more likely winner at 40%, against 30% for Independ. Rivadavia and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Belgrano Cordoba have scored in 16 of 23 league games this season, Independ. Rivadavia in 18 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Belgrano Cordoba win
40%
Draw
30%
Independ. Rivadavia win
30%
What our model expects
Belgrano CordobaPer gameIndepend. RivadaviaNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Belgrano Cordoba clean sheet
34%
Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet
28%
What stands out
Total goals 2.4
13% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Belgrano Cordoba 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded · Independ. Rivadavia 1.9 / 1.0 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
26%
Shots
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
2.5
Belgrano Cordoba · on target
N. Fernández
Belgrano Cordoba
1.2
Independ. Rivadavia · on target
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Belgrano Cordoba
At home- 1.82
- pts/game
- 1.36
- scored
- 0.64
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 23
- Clean sheet in 45%
When their goals arrive
Independ. Rivadavia
Away- 1.78
- pts/game
- 1.22
- scored
- 0.78
- conceded
- Scored in 18 of 21
- Clean sheet in 44%
When their goals arrive
Belgrano Cordoba · Recent form
- W2-0Banfield
- D0-0Tigre
- L0-1Argentinos JRS
- W2-1Rosario Central
- D2-2Gimnasia Jujuy
Independ. Rivadavia · Recent form
- W2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- L1-2Sarmiento Junin
- W2-1Huracan
- D0-0Atletico Tucuman
- W1-0Tigre
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Belgrano Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Golazo's model makes Belgrano Cordoba the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Belgrano Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Belgrano Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.