Match preview
Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba prediction
Banfield
Belgrano Cordoba
Mon, Aug 10, 06:00 PM
Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Banfield the more likely winner at 40%, against 29% for Belgrano Cordoba and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: Banfield have scored in 12 of 19 league games this season, Belgrano Cordoba in 16 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Banfield win
40%
Draw
31%
Belgrano Cordoba win
29%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Banfield clean sheet
36%
Belgrano Cordoba clean sheet
29%
What stands out
match.offsides 4.3
24% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Banfield 2.2 + Belgrano Cordoba 2.1 per game
Total goals 2.3
15% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Banfield 1.2 scored / 1.1 conceded · Belgrano Cordoba 1.3 / 1.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Fernández
Belgrano Cordoba
21%
Shots
N. Fernández
Belgrano Cordoba
2
Banfield · on target
Tiziano Perrota
Banfield
0.8
Belgrano Cordoba · on target
N. Fernández
Belgrano Cordoba
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Banfield
At home- 1.89
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 0.89
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 19
- Clean sheet in 44%
When their goals arrive
Belgrano Cordoba
Away- 1.91
- pts/game
- 1.09
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 22
- Clean sheet in 45%
When their goals arrive
Banfield · Recent form
- D0-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- W3-2Sarmiento Junin
- L0-1Huracan
- D1-1San Martin Tucuman
- W2-1Barracas Central
Belgrano Cordoba · Recent form
- L0-1Argentinos JRS
- W2-1Rosario Central
- D2-2Gimnasia Jujuy
- W3-2River Plate
- D1-1Argentinos JRS
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba?
Golazo's model makes Banfield the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.