Match preview
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
1 in the table · 31 pts from 16
Gimnasia L.P.
Sat, Aug 15, 03:45 PM
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Estudiantes L.P. the more likely winner at 43%, against 24% for Gimnasia L.P. and 32% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 41%. Behind that: Estudiantes L.P. have scored in 11 of 21 league games this season, Gimnasia L.P. in 16 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Estudiantes L.P. win
43%
Draw
32%
Gimnasia L.P. win
24%
What our model expects
Estudiantes L.P.Per gameGimnasia L.P.No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 0.8
Total goals 2
Both teams score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Over 1.5 goals
62%
Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet
43%
Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet
30%
What stands out
Total goals 2
25% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded · Gimnasia L.P. 1.5 / 1.1 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Torres
Gimnasia L.P.
16%
Shots
M. Zalazar
Gimnasia L.P.
2.2
Estudiantes L.P. · on target
G. Carrillo
Estudiantes L.P.
1.1
Gimnasia L.P. · on target
M. Torres
Gimnasia L.P.
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Estudiantes L.P.
At home- 1.73
- pts/game
- 1.27
- scored
- 0.64
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 21
- Clean sheet in 45%
When their goals arrive
Gimnasia L.P.
Away- 1.58
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.17
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 22
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Estudiantes L.P. · Recent form
- L0-2Deportivo Riestra
- L0-1Boca Juniors
- W3-0Defensa Y Justicia
- L0-2Independiente
- W3-0Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P. · Recent form
- W2-0Barracas Central
- W2-1Aldosivi
- W1-0River Plate
- L1-2Racing Club
- W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Golazo's model makes Estudiantes L.P. the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 14%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 41%, and over 2.5 goals at 33%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.