Match preview

Racing Club vs Banfield prediction

Racing Club
v
Banfield
453024
Racing ClubDrawBanfield
Goals expectedBoth teams score46%Over 2.5 goals40%Total goals2.3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Racing Club

Banfield

Fri, Aug 14, 07:30 PM

Avellaneda

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Racing Club the more likely winner at 45%, against 24% for Banfield and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. Behind that: Racing Club have scored in 15 of 21 league games this season, Banfield in 12 of 19.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Racing Club win

45%

Draw

30%

Banfield win

24%

Most likely scorelines1114%1013%0012%

What our model expects

Racing ClubPer gameBanfield
LLDWWLast 5DWLDW
1.33Points per game0.50
1.1Scored0.7
1.3Expected goals0.9
2.4Cards1.8
4.9Corners3.9
1.2Conceded1.4
53Possession47
12.0Shots12.1

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.3 0.9

Total goals 2.3

Both teams score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

Over 1.5 goals

68%

Racing Club clean sheet

40%

Banfield clean sheet

26%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2.3

    16% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Racing Club 1.3 scored / 1.2 conceded · Banfield 1.2 / 1.1 per game

  • Corners 8.8

    12% below a typical match · League average 10

    Racing Club win 4.8 per game, Banfield concede 4.4

Corners

League average 5

Racing Club4.9
Banfield3.9

Cards

League average 2.25

Racing Club2.4
Banfield1.8

Shots

League average 12.5

Racing Club12
Banfield12.1

Possession

Racing Club53
Banfield47

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Tiziano Perrota

Banfield

21%

Shots

D. Zalazar

Banfield

2

Racing Club · on target

M. Miljevic

Racing Club

1

Banfield · on target

Tiziano Perrota

Banfield

0.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Racing Club

At home
1.33
pts/game
1.11
scored
1.22
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 22%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Banfield

Away
0.5
pts/game
0.7
scored
1.4
conceded
  • Scored in 12 of 19
  • Clean sheet in 10%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Racing Club · Recent form

  • L1-2Argentinos JRS
  • L1-3Tigre
  • D0-0Rosario Central
  • W2-1Gimnasia L.P.
  • W4-1Defensa Y Justicia

Banfield · Recent form

  • D0-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
  • W3-2Sarmiento Junin
  • L0-1Huracan
  • D1-1San Martin Tucuman
  • W2-1Barracas Central

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Racing Club vs Banfield?

Golazo's model makes Racing Club the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Racing Club vs Banfield?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Banfield?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

More Liga Profesional matches

All Liga Profesional fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.