Match preview
Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago prediction
Union Santa Fe
8 in the table · 21 pts from 16
Central Cordoba de Santiago
13 in the table · 16 pts from 16
Mon, Aug 10, 08:15 PM
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Union Santa Fe the more likely winner at 62%, against 13% for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 25% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 43%. Behind that: Union Santa Fe have scored in 14 of 20 league games this season, Central Cordoba de Santiago in 8 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Union Santa Fe win
62%
Draw
25%
Central Cordoba de Santiago win
13%
What our model expects
Anchored to the de-vigged consensus of 28 bookmakers, then expanded into the full picture they don't publish: every scoreline, both teams to score, clean sheets. We tested our own goal model against the market over 1,420 matches and the market won, so this starts from the sharper number. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.7
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Union Santa Fe clean sheet
50%
Central Cordoba de Santiago clean sheet
17%
What stands out
match.offsides 4.2
20% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Union Santa Fe 1.8 + Central Cordoba de Santiago 2.4 per game
Fouls 23.8
13% above a typical match · League average 21
Union Santa Fe 11.2 + Central Cordoba de Santiago 12.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
C. Tarragona
Union Santa Fe
37%
Shots
M. Estigarribia
Union Santa Fe
2.6
Union Santa Fe · on target
C. Tarragona
Union Santa Fe
1.1
Central Cordoba de Santiago · on target
E. Naya
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Union Santa Fe
At home- 1.63
- pts/game
- 1.38
- scored
- 0.63
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 20
- Clean sheet in 63%
When their goals arrive
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Away- 0.33
- pts/game
- 0.11
- scored
- 1.44
- conceded
- Scored in 8 of 19
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Union Santa Fe · Recent form
- W2-1Lanus
- L0-2Gimnasia M.
- D2-2Platense
- L0-2Independiente
- L0-2Belgrano Cordoba
Central Cordoba de Santiago · Recent form
- W1-0San Lorenzo
- L0-2Atletico Tucuman
- L0-1Gimnasia M.
- L1-2Boca Juniors
- D0-0Lanus
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Golazo's model makes Union Santa Fe the more likely winner at 62%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 43%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.