Match preview
Macara vs Santos prediction
Macara
Santos
Macara
1 in the table · 10 pts from 6
Santos
Thu, Aug 20, 06:00 PM
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Macara the more likely winner at 38%, against 32% for Santos and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%. Behind that: Macara have scored in 6 of 8 league games this season, Santos in 8 of 9.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Macara win
38%
Draw
30%
Santos win
32%
What our model expects
MacaraPer gameSantosNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Macara clean sheet
32%
Santos clean sheet
28%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
F. Posse
Macara
31%
Shots
A. Campana
Macara
2.4
Macara · on target
F. Posse
Macara
1.1
Santos · on target
Neymar
Santos
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Macara
At home- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 8
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Santos
Away- 1.25
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 8 of 9
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Macara · Recent form
- L1-2Santos
- W2-1Barcelona SC
- W2-1Guayaquil City FC
- D1-1Gualaceo SC
- W4-1Aucas
Santos · Recent form
- W2-1Macara
- L0-2Atletico Paranaense
- W1-0Remo
- D0-0Remo
- W4-2UCV
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Macara vs Santos?
Golazo's model makes Macara the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Macara vs Santos?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Macara vs Santos?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
More Copa Sudamericana matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.