Match preview
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino prediction
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Wed, Aug 19, 06:00 PM
MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Atletico-MG the more likely winner at 37%, against 31% for RB Bragantino and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. Behind that: Atletico-MG have scored in 6 of 7 league games this season, RB Bragantino in 5 of 9.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Atletico-MG win
37%
Draw
32%
RB Bragantino win
31%
What our model expects
Atletico-MGPer gameRB BragantinoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Atletico-MG clean sheet
35%
RB Bragantino clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
18% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Atletico-MG 1.2 scored / 1.1 conceded · RB Bragantino 1.3 / 0.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Fernando
RB Bragantino
25%
Shots
Davi Gomes
RB Bragantino
2.6
Atletico-MG · on target
Dudu
Atletico-MG
0.9
RB Bragantino · on target
Davi Gomes
RB Bragantino
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Atletico-MG
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 0.33
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 7
- Clean sheet in 67%
When their goals arrive
RB Bragantino
Away- 1.25
- pts/game
- 1.75
- scored
- 0.5
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 9
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Atletico-MG · Recent form
- W1-0RB Bragantino
- D2-2Remo
- W1-0Juventude
- D0-0Juventude
- W2-1Palmeiras
RB Bragantino · Recent form
- L0-1Atletico-MG
- L0-2Corinthians
- W1-0Sporting Cristal
- D0-0Coritiba
- D0-0Sporting Cristal
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
Golazo's model makes Atletico-MG the more likely winner at 37%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.