Match preview
Cienciano vs Botafogo prediction
Cienciano
Botafogo
Cienciano
Botafogo
Thu, Aug 13, 08:30 PM
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Botafogo the more likely winner at 42%, against 29% for Cienciano and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Cienciano have scored in 6 of 9 league games this season, Botafogo in 6 of 6.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Cienciano win
29%
Draw
28%
Botafogo win
42%
What our model expects
CiencianoPer gameBotafogoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.5
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Cienciano clean sheet
23%
Botafogo clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Cards 5.8
28% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Cienciano 2.6 + Botafogo 3.2 per game
Offsides 2
43% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Cienciano 1.0 + Botafogo 1.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
33%
Shots
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
3.3
Cienciano · on target
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
1.6
Botafogo · on target
Matheus Martins
Botafogo
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Cienciano
At home- 2.6
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0.4
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 9
- Clean sheet in 60%
When their goals arrive
Botafogo
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 6
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Cienciano · Recent form
- L0-1Alianza Atletico
- W2-0Universitario
- W4-0Lanus
- L0-2Juan Pablo II College
- L0-2Lanus
Botafogo · Recent form
- D1-1Fluminense
- W1-0Cruzeiro
- D0-0Vitoria
- W2-1Santos
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Cienciano vs Botafogo?
Golazo's model makes Botafogo the more likely winner at 42%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Cienciano vs Botafogo?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Cienciano vs Botafogo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
More Copa Sudamericana matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.