Match preview

Atletico Torque vs Tigre prediction

Atletico Torque
v
Tigre
462925
Atletico TorqueDrawTigre
Goals expectedBoth teams score49%Over 2.5 goals44%Total goals2.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Atletico Torque

Tigre

2 in the table · 9 pts from 6

Wed, Aug 19, 08:30 PM

Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Atletico Torque the more likely winner at 46%, against 25% for Tigre and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Atletico Torque have scored in 8 of 8 league games this season, Tigre in 7 of 9.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Atletico Torque win

46%

Draw

29%

Tigre win

25%

Most likely scorelines1114%1011%0010%

What our model expects

Atletico TorquePer gameTigre
WWLWWLast 5
0.3Conceded1.0
3.00Points per game1.50
1.4Expected goals1.0
51Possession49
11.6Shots11.4
1.8Scored1.8
4.7Corners4.7
0.0Cards0.0

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 1

Total goals 2.4

Both teams score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Over 1.5 goals

71%

Atletico Torque clean sheet

37%

Tigre clean sheet

24%

Corners

League average 5

Atletico Torque4.7
Tigre4.7

Shots

League average 12.5

Atletico Torque11.6
Tigre11.4

Possession

Atletico Torque51
Tigre49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

D. Romero

Tigre

38%

Shots

D. Romero

Tigre

2.6

Atletico Torque · on target

S. Rodríguez

Atletico Torque

0.9

Tigre · on target

D. Romero

Tigre

1.2

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Atletico Torque

At home
3
pts/game
1.75
scored
0.25
conceded
  • Scored in 8 of 8
  • Clean sheet in 75%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Tigre

Away
1.5
pts/game
1.75
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 7 of 9
  • Clean sheet in 25%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Atletico Torque · Recent form

  • W1-0Juventud
  • W1-0Tigre
  • L0-2Wanderers
  • W1-0Danubio
  • W3-1Juventud

Tigre · Recent form

No finished games on record yet.

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Tigre?

Golazo's model makes Atletico Torque the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Atletico Torque vs Tigre?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Atletico Torque vs Tigre?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.