Match preview
Atletico Torque vs Tigre prediction
Atletico Torque
TigreAtletico Torque
Tigre
2 in the table · 9 pts from 6
Wed, Aug 19, 08:30 PM
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Atletico Torque the more likely winner at 46%, against 25% for Tigre and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Atletico Torque have scored in 8 of 8 league games this season, Tigre in 7 of 9.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Atletico Torque win
46%
Draw
29%
Tigre win
25%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Atletico Torque clean sheet
37%
Tigre clean sheet
24%
Corners
League average 5
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Romero
Tigre
38%
Shots
D. Romero
Tigre
2.6
Atletico Torque · on target
S. Rodríguez
Atletico Torque
0.9
Tigre · on target
D. Romero
Tigre
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Atletico Torque
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1.75
- scored
- 0.25
- conceded
- Scored in 8 of 8
- Clean sheet in 75%
When their goals arrive
Tigre
Away- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.75
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 7 of 9
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Atletico Torque · Recent form
- W1-0Juventud
- W1-0Tigre
- L0-2Wanderers
- W1-0Danubio
- W3-1Juventud
Tigre · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Tigre?
Golazo's model makes Atletico Torque the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Torque vs Tigre?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Atletico Torque vs Tigre?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
More Copa Sudamericana matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.