Match preview
Santos vs Macara prediction
Santos
Macara
Santos
Macara
1 in the table · 10 pts from 6
Thu, Aug 13, 06:00 PM
Copa Sudamericana
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Santos the more likely winner at 41%, against 29% for Macara and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Santos have scored in 7 of 8 league games this season, Macara in 5 of 7.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Santos win
41%
Draw
30%
Macara win
29%
What our model expects
SantosPer gameMacaraNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Santos clean sheet
34%
Macara clean sheet
27%
What stands out
Total goals 2.4
12% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Santos 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded · Macara 1.4 / 0.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
F. Posse
Macara
25%
Shots
A. Campana
Macara
2.5
Santos · on target
Neymar
Santos
0.9
Macara · on target
F. Posse
Macara
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Santos
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 2.5
- scored
- 1.25
- conceded
- Scored in 7 of 8
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Macara
Away- 2.5
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 7
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Santos · Recent form
- W1-0Remo
- D0-0Remo
- W4-2UCV
- D2-2Chapecoense-sc
- W4-1UCV
Macara · Recent form
- W2-1Guayaquil City FC
- D1-1Gualaceo SC
- W4-1Aucas
- W3-0Deportivo Cuenca
- L1-2Delfin SC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Santos vs Macara?
Golazo's model makes Santos the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Santos vs Macara?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Santos vs Macara?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
More Copa Sudamericana matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.