Match preview
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense prediction
Independ. Rivadavia
FluminensePriced correctly everywhere
Prices as of 09:01 PM
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Tue, Aug 18, 06:00 PM
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Mendoza
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Independ. Rivadavia the more likely winner at 36%, against 31% for Fluminense and 33% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%. Behind that: Independ. Rivadavia have scored in 6 of 7 league games this season, Fluminense in 4 of 7.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Independ. Rivadavia win
36%
Draw
33%
Fluminense win
31%
What our model expects
Independ. RivadaviaPer gameFluminenseAnchored to the de-vigged consensus of 35 bookmakers, then expanded into the full picture they don't publish: every scoreline, both teams to score, clean sheets. We tested our own goal model against the market over 1,420 matches and the market won, so this starts from the sharper number. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet
37%
Fluminense clean sheet
33%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
22% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Independ. Rivadavia 1.8 scored / 0.9 conceded · Fluminense 1.3 / 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
25%
Shots
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
2.4
Independ. Rivadavia · on target
A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
0.9
Fluminense · on target
John Kennedy
Fluminense
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Independ. Rivadavia
At home- 2.33
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0.67
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 7
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Fluminense
Away- 0.67
- pts/game
- 0.33
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 7
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Independ. Rivadavia · Recent form
- D0-0Fluminense
- W2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- L1-2Sarmiento Junin
- W2-1Huracan
- D0-0Atletico Tucuman
Fluminense · Recent form
- D0-0Independ. Rivadavia
- D1-1Botafogo
- L1-3Vasco DA Gama
- D0-0Vasco DA Gama
- D0-0Bahia
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Golazo's model makes Independ. Rivadavia the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 33%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.