Match preview

Platense vs Coquimbo Unido prediction

Platense
v
Coquimbo Unido
402932
PlatenseDrawCoquimbo Unido
Goals expectedBoth teams score55%Over 2.5 goals49%Total goals2.6
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Platense

Coquimbo Unido

Wed, Aug 12, 06:00 PM

Buenos Aires

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Platense the more likely winner at 40%, against 32% for Coquimbo Unido and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Platense have scored in 5 of 6 league games this season, Coquimbo Unido in 4 of 6.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Platense win

40%

Draw

29%

Coquimbo Unido win

32%

Most likely scorelines1114%109%219%

What our model expects

PlatensePer gameCoquimbo Unido
LLDWLLast 5WLLW
1.0Scored0.7
1.33Points per game1.00
1.4Expected goals1.2
13.7Shots12.0
4.8Corners4.3
48Possession52
2.3Cards2.4
1.3Conceded1.3

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 1.2

Total goals 2.6

Both teams score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

Platense clean sheet

29%

Coquimbo Unido clean sheet

25%

Corners

League average 5

Platense4.8
Coquimbo Unido4.3

Cards

League average 2.25

Platense2.3
Coquimbo Unido2.4

Shots

League average 12.5

Platense13.7
Coquimbo Unido12

Possession

Platense48
Coquimbo Unido52

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

N. Johansen

Coquimbo Unido

28%

Shots

L. Riveros

Coquimbo Unido

1.8

Platense · on target

F. Zapiola

Platense

1

Coquimbo Unido · on target

N. Johansen

Coquimbo Unido

1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Platense

At home
1.33
pts/game
1
scored
1.33
conceded
  • Scored in 5 of 6
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Coquimbo Unido

Away
1
pts/game
0.67
scored
1.33
conceded
  • Scored in 4 of 6
  • Clean sheet in 33%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Platense · Recent form

  • L0-4Talleres Cordoba
  • L1-2Instituto Cordoba
  • D2-2Union Santa Fe
  • W2-0Corinthians
  • L1-2Santa Fe

Coquimbo Unido · Recent form

  • W1-0San Marcos de Arica
  • L1-2Palestino
  • L0-1Union La Calera
  • W1-0Union La Calera

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Platense vs Coquimbo Unido?

Golazo's model makes Platense the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Platense vs Coquimbo Unido?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Platense vs Coquimbo Unido?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.