Match preview
Mirassol vs LDU de Quito prediction
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Thu, Aug 13, 06:00 PM
Mirassol
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Mirassol the more likely winner at 40%, against 29% for LDU de Quito and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 46%. Behind that: Mirassol have scored in 4 of 6 league games this season, LDU de Quito in 4 of 6.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Mirassol win
40%
Draw
31%
LDU de Quito win
29%
What our model expects
MirassolPer gameLDU de QuitoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Mirassol clean sheet
36%
LDU de Quito clean sheet
29%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
17% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Mirassol 1.2 scored / 1.1 conceded · LDU de Quito 1.3 / 0.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Nathan Fogaça
Mirassol
25%
Shots
Nathan Fogaça
Mirassol
2.3
Mirassol · on target
Nathan Fogaça
Mirassol
1
LDU de Quito · on target
R. Redes
LDU de Quito
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Mirassol
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 6
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
LDU de Quito
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0.33
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 6
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Mirassol · Recent form
- L0-1Gremio
- D1-1Gremio
- W2-1Remo
- D1-1Vasco DA Gama
- W2-1Gremio
LDU de Quito · Recent form
- L0-2Independiente del Valle
- W2-1Delfin SC
- W6-0Leones del Norte
- W1-0Barcelona SC
- D1-1Manta FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
Golazo's model makes Mirassol the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 46%, and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
More Copa Libertadores matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.