Match preview
Rosario Central vs Corinthians prediction
Rosario Central
Corinthians
Rosario Central
Corinthians
Thu, Aug 13, 08:30 PM
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Rosario Central the more likely winner at 45%, against 22% for Corinthians and 33% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 39%. Behind that: Rosario Central have scored in 4 of 6 league games this season, Corinthians in 5 of 6.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Rosario Central win
45%
Draw
33%
Corinthians win
22%
What our model expects
Rosario CentralPer gameCorinthiansNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 0.8
Total goals 2
Both teams score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
Rosario Central clean sheet
46%
Corinthians clean sheet
30%
What stands out
Total goals 2
27% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Rosario Central 1.3 scored / 1.0 conceded · Corinthians 1.3 / 1.0 per game
Cards 5.4
21% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Rosario Central 2.4 + Corinthians 3.0 per game
Fouls 23.8
13% above a typical match · League average 21
Rosario Central 10.6 + Corinthians 13.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
E. Copetti
Rosario Central
25%
Shots
J. Campaz
Rosario Central
2.5
Rosario Central · on target
J. Campaz
Rosario Central
1.3
Corinthians · on target
Yuri Alberto
Corinthians
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Rosario Central
At home- 2.33
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 6
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Corinthians
Away- 1.67
- pts/game
- 1.33
- scored
- 0.67
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 6
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Rosario Central · Recent form
- W2-1Aldosivi
- W1-0River Plate
- D0-0Racing Club
- L1-2Belgrano Cordoba
- L0-3Estudiantes L.P.
Corinthians · Recent form
- W2-0RB Bragantino
- W2-1Internacional
- L0-2Internacional
- D0-0Atletico Paranaense
- D1-1Bahia
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Rosario Central vs Corinthians?
Golazo's model makes Rosario Central the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 33%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Rosario Central vs Corinthians?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Corinthians?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 39%, and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
More Copa Libertadores matches
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