Match preview
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo prediction
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
1 in the table · 16 pts from 6
Wed, Aug 12, 08:30 PM
Belo Horizonte
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Cruzeiro 35%, the draw 31%, Flamengo 34%. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Cruzeiro have scored in 5 of 6 league games this season, Flamengo in 5 of 5.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Cruzeiro win
35%
Draw
31%
Flamengo win
34%
What our model expects
CruzeiroPer gameFlamengoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.2
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Cruzeiro clean sheet
32%
Flamengo clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
14% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Cruzeiro 1.4 scored / 0.9 conceded · Flamengo 1.9 / 0.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Pedro
Flamengo
29%
Shots
Pedro
Flamengo
2.4
Cruzeiro · on target
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
0.9
Flamengo · on target
Pedro
Flamengo
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Cruzeiro
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0.67
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 6
- Clean sheet in 67%
When their goals arrive
Flamengo
Away- 2
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 0.5
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 5
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Cruzeiro · Recent form
- W3-1Mirassol
- W2-0Chapecoense-sc
- D0-0Chapecoense-sc
- W1-0Coritiba
- L0-1Botafogo
Flamengo · Recent form
- W2-0Vitoria
- D1-1Internacional
- D1-1Sao Paulo
- W4-0Chapecoense-sc
- W4-2Olimpia
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Cruzeiro 35%, the draw 31%, Flamengo 34%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
More Copa Libertadores matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.