Match preview
Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba prediction
Gimnasia M.
Talleres CordobaGimnasia M.
11 in the table · 19 pts from 16
Talleres Cordoba
4 in the table · 26 pts from 16
Mon, Aug 17, 08:30 PM
Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Talleres Cordoba the more likely winner at 36%, against 31% for Gimnasia M. and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%. Behind that: Gimnasia M. have scored in 13 of 20 league games this season, Talleres Cordoba in 13 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Gimnasia M. win
31%
Draw
32%
Talleres Cordoba win
36%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.1
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Gimnasia M. clean sheet
33%
Talleres Cordoba clean sheet
36%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
22% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Gimnasia M. 0.9 scored / 1.2 conceded · Talleres Cordoba 1.1 / 1.0 per game
Cards 5.7
26% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Gimnasia M. 2.9 + Talleres Cordoba 2.8 per game
Offsides 2.8
20% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Gimnasia M. 0.8 + Talleres Cordoba 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
V. Dávila
Talleres Cordoba
31%
Shots
V. Dávila
Talleres Cordoba
2.2
Gimnasia M. · on target
L. Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
1
Talleres Cordoba · on target
V. Dávila
Talleres Cordoba
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Gimnasia M.
At home- 1.9
- pts/game
- 1.2
- scored
- 0.8
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
Talleres Cordoba
Away- 1.45
- pts/game
- 1.09
- scored
- 0.82
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 21
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
Gimnasia M. · Recent form
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba
- W2-0Union Santa Fe
- L0-1San Lorenzo
- W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago
- W2-1Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba · Recent form
- L0-3Lanus
- W4-0Platense
- L1-3Velez Sarsfield
- L0-1Newells Old Boys
- L0-3Atletico Tucuman
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba?
Golazo's model makes Talleres Cordoba the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.