Match preview

Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba prediction

Gimnasia M.
v
Talleres Cordoba
313236
Gimnasia M.DrawTalleres Cordoba
Goals expectedBoth teams score44%Over 2.5 goals35%Total goals2.1
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Gimnasia M.

11 in the table · 19 pts from 16

Talleres Cordoba

4 in the table · 26 pts from 16

Mon, Aug 17, 08:30 PM

Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Talleres Cordoba the more likely winner at 36%, against 31% for Gimnasia M. and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%. Behind that: Gimnasia M. have scored in 13 of 20 league games this season, Talleres Cordoba in 13 of 21.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Gimnasia M. win

31%

Draw

32%

Talleres Cordoba win

36%

Most likely scorelines1115%0013%0112%

What our model expects

Gimnasia M.Per gameTalleres Cordoba
LWLWWLast 5LWLLL
1.90Points per game1.45
47Possession53
12.6Shots13.9
1.2Scored1.1
1.0Expected goals1.1
4.9Corners5.1
2.9Cards2.8
0.8Conceded0.8

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1 1.1

Total goals 2.1

Both teams score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Over 1.5 goals

64%

Gimnasia M. clean sheet

33%

Talleres Cordoba clean sheet

36%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2.1

    22% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Gimnasia M. 0.9 scored / 1.2 conceded · Talleres Cordoba 1.1 / 1.0 per game

  • Cards 5.7

    26% above a typical match · League average 4.5

    Gimnasia M. 2.9 + Talleres Cordoba 2.8 per game

  • Offsides 2.8

    20% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    Gimnasia M. 0.8 + Talleres Cordoba 2.0 per game

Corners

League average 5

Gimnasia M.4.9
Talleres Cordoba5.1

Cards

League average 2.25

Gimnasia M.2.9
Talleres Cordoba2.8

Shots

League average 12.5

Gimnasia M.12.6
Talleres Cordoba13.9

Possession

Gimnasia M.47
Talleres Cordoba53

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

V. Dávila

Talleres Cordoba

31%

Shots

V. Dávila

Talleres Cordoba

2.2

Gimnasia M. · on target

L. Cingolani

Gimnasia M.

1

Talleres Cordoba · on target

V. Dávila

Talleres Cordoba

1.3

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Gimnasia M.

At home
1.9
pts/game
1.2
scored
0.8
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 20
  • Clean sheet in 40%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Talleres Cordoba

Away
1.45
pts/game
1.09
scored
0.82
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 36%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Gimnasia M. · Recent form

  • L0-1Instituto Cordoba
  • W2-0Union Santa Fe
  • L0-1San Lorenzo
  • W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago
  • W2-1Defensa Y Justicia

Talleres Cordoba · Recent form

  • L0-3Lanus
  • W4-0Platense
  • L1-3Velez Sarsfield
  • L0-1Newells Old Boys
  • L0-3Atletico Tucuman

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba?

Golazo's model makes Talleres Cordoba the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

More Liga Profesional matches

All Liga Profesional fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.