Match preview
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra prediction
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
14 in the table · 15 pts from 16
Deportivo Riestra
15 in the table · 11 pts from 16
Sat, Aug 15, 06:00 PM
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Newells Old Boys 33%, the draw 35%, Deportivo Riestra 32%. It projects 1.8 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%, and puts both teams scoring at 37%. Behind that: Newells Old Boys have scored in 12 of 19 league games this season, Deportivo Riestra in 7 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Newells Old Boys win
33%
Draw
35%
Deportivo Riestra win
32%
What our model expects
Newells Old BoysPer gameDeportivo RiestraNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 0.9
Total goals 1.8
Both teams score
37%
Over 2.5 goals
28%
Over 1.5 goals
56%
Newells Old Boys clean sheet
40%
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet
40%
What stands out
Total goals 1.8
32% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Newells Old Boys 1.0 scored / 1.6 conceded · Deportivo Riestra 0.8 / 1.1 per game
Cards 5.1
14% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Newells Old Boys 2.6 + Deportivo Riestra 2.5 per game
Offsides 4
15% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Newells Old Boys 1.9 + Deportivo Riestra 2.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
I. Ramírez
Newells Old Boys
26%
Shots
I. Ramírez
Newells Old Boys
1.6
Newells Old Boys · on target
I. Ramírez
Newells Old Boys
0.9
Deportivo Riestra · on target
N. Benegas
Deportivo Riestra
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Newells Old Boys
At home- 1.1
- pts/game
- 0.9
- scored
- 1.2
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 19
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
Deportivo Riestra
Away- 0.33
- pts/game
- 0.22
- scored
- 1.11
- conceded
- Scored in 7 of 20
- Clean sheet in 22%
When their goals arrive
Newells Old Boys · Recent form
- L1-2Defensa Y Justicia
- D2-2Boca Juniors
- L0-1Independiente
- W1-0Talleres Cordoba
- D1-1Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra · Recent form
- W2-0Estudiantes L.P.
- L0-1Barracas Central
- L1-2Defensa Y Justicia
- W3-0Boca Juniors
- D1-1San Lorenzo
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Newells Old Boys 33%, the draw 35%, Deportivo Riestra 32%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 17%. The model projects 1.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 37%, and over 2.5 goals at 28%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.