Match preview
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo prediction
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
7 in the table · 22 pts from 16
Fri, Aug 21, 07:00 PM
Cordoba
The short answer
Golazo's model makes San Lorenzo the more likely winner at 42%, against 22% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 37% for the draw. It projects 1.6 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%, and puts both teams scoring at 30%. Behind that: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have scored in 6 of 20 league games this season, San Lorenzo in 14 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win
22%
Draw
37%
San Lorenzo win
42%
What our model expects
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPer gameSan LorenzoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.6 – 1
Total goals 1.6
Both teams score
30%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Over 1.5 goals
49%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto clean sheet
37%
San Lorenzo clean sheet
53%
What stands out
Total goals 1.6
40% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.5 scored / 1.3 conceded · San Lorenzo 1.0 / 0.8 per game
Offsides 3.1
12% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1.3 + San Lorenzo 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
31%
Shots
R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
2.3
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · on target
M. Bajamich
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0.7
San Lorenzo · on target
R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
At home- 0.8
- pts/game
- 0.5
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 20
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
San Lorenzo
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0.55
- scored
- 0.73
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 22
- Clean sheet in 45%
When their goals arrive
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Recent form
- L1-2Independ. Rivadavia
- D0-0Banfield
- L0-3Argentinos JRS
- W1-0Tigre
- L0-2Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo · Recent form
- W1-0Union Santa Fe
- L0-2Huracan
- L0-1Central Cordoba de Santiago
- W1-0Gimnasia M.
- L0-1Lanus
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
Golazo's model makes San Lorenzo the more likely winner at 42%, with the draw at 37%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 21%. The model projects 1.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 30%, and over 2.5 goals at 22%.
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