Match preview
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman prediction
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Atletico TucumanEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Atletico Tucuman
Mon, Aug 17, 01:45 PM
Cordoba
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Atletico Tucuman the more likely winner at 43%, against 22% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 34% for the draw. It projects 1.8 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%, and puts both teams scoring at 35%. Behind that: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have scored in 6 of 20 league games this season, Atletico Tucuman in 14 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win
22%
Draw
34%
Atletico Tucuman win
43%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.7 – 1.1
Total goals 1.8
Both teams score
35%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Over 1.5 goals
55%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto clean sheet
33%
Atletico Tucuman clean sheet
49%
What stands out
Total goals 1.8
33% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.5 scored / 1.3 conceded · Atletico Tucuman 1.3 / 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
L. Díaz
Atletico Tucuman
25%
Shots
L. Díaz
Atletico Tucuman
2
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · on target
M. Bajamich
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0.7
Atletico Tucuman · on target
L. Díaz
Atletico Tucuman
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
At home- 0.8
- pts/game
- 0.5
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 20
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
Atletico Tucuman
Away- 0.7
- pts/game
- 0.9
- scored
- 1.4
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 20
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Recent form
- L1-2Independ. Rivadavia
- D0-0Banfield
- L0-3Argentinos JRS
- W1-0Tigre
- L0-2Instituto Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman · Recent form
- W4-0Independiente
- L1-2Sarmiento Junin
- D0-0Huracan
- W2-0Central Cordoba de Santiago
- D0-0Independ. Rivadavia
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman?
Golazo's model makes Atletico Tucuman the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 18%. The model projects 1.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 35%, and over 2.5 goals at 27%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.