Match preview

Tigre vs Atletico Torque prediction

Tigre
v
Atletico Torque
402931
TigreDrawAtletico Torque
Goals expectedBoth teams score54%Over 2.5 goals48%Total goals2.6
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Tigre

2 in the table · 9 pts from 6

Atletico Torque

Wed, Aug 12, 06:00 PM

Buenos Aires

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Tigre the more likely winner at 40%, against 31% for Atletico Torque and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Tigre have scored in 7 of 8 league games this season, Atletico Torque in 7 of 7.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Tigre win

40%

Draw

29%

Atletico Torque win

31%

Most likely scorelines1114%109%009%

What our model expects

TigrePer gameAtletico Torque
DWLLWLast 5LWWLL
13.5Shots0.0
0.8Conceded1.3
1.3Scored1.7
1.4Expected goals1.2
1.50Points per game1.33
0.0Corners0.0
0.0Cards0.0
0Possession0

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 1.2

Total goals 2.6

Both teams score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Over 1.5 goals

74%

Tigre clean sheet

30%

Atletico Torque clean sheet

25%

Shots

League average 12.5

Tigre13.5
Atletico Torque

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

D. Romero

Tigre

47%

Shots

D. Romero

Tigre

2.6

Tigre · on target

D. Romero

Tigre

1.2

Atletico Torque · on target

S. Rodríguez

Atletico Torque

0.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Tigre

At home
1.5
pts/game
1.25
scored
0.75
conceded
  • Scored in 7 of 8
  • Clean sheet in 50%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Atletico Torque

Away
1.33
pts/game
1.67
scored
1.33
conceded
  • Scored in 7 of 7
  • Clean sheet in 33%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Tigre · Recent form

  • D0-0Belgrano Cordoba
  • W3-1Racing Club
  • L1-2Club Nacional
  • L0-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
  • W3-0Club Nacional

Atletico Torque · Recent form

  • L0-2Wanderers
  • W1-0Danubio
  • W3-1Juventud
  • L1-4Bahia
  • L2-4Deportivo Maldonado

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Tigre vs Atletico Torque?

Golazo's model makes Tigre the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Tigre vs Atletico Torque?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Tigre vs Atletico Torque?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

More Copa Sudamericana matches

All Copa Sudamericana fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.