Match preview
RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG prediction
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
Wed, Aug 12, 06:00 PM
Copa Sudamericana
The short answer
Golazo's model makes RB Bragantino the more likely winner at 49%, against 22% for Atletico-MG and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: RB Bragantino have scored in 5 of 8 league games this season, Atletico-MG in 5 of 6.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
RB Bragantino win
49%
Draw
28%
Atletico-MG win
22%
What our model expects
RB BragantinoPer gameAtletico-MGNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.9
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
RB Bragantino clean sheet
39%
Atletico-MG clean sheet
22%
What stands out
Fouls 24
14% above a typical match · League average 21
RB Bragantino 13.1 + Atletico-MG 10.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Fernando
RB Bragantino
29%
Shots
Davi Gomes
RB Bragantino
2.6
RB Bragantino · on target
Davi Gomes
RB Bragantino
1.1
Atletico-MG · on target
Dudu
Atletico-MG
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
RB Bragantino
At home- 2.25
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 0.75
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 8
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Atletico-MG
Away- 0.33
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.67
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 6
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
RB Bragantino · Recent form
- W1-0Sporting Cristal
- D0-0Coritiba
- D0-0Sporting Cristal
- D1-1Fluminense
- W2-1Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG · Recent form
- W1-0Juventude
- D0-0Juventude
- W2-1Palmeiras
- D1-1Bahia
- W1-0Vasco DA Gama
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?
Golazo's model makes RB Bragantino the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
More Copa Sudamericana matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.