Match preview
Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe prediction
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
8 in the table · 21 pts from 16
Fri, Aug 21, 01:30 PM
Mar del Plata
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Union Santa Fe the more likely winner at 43%, against 25% for Aldosivi and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 43%. Behind that: Aldosivi have scored in 9 of 21 league games this season, Union Santa Fe in 16 of 23.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Aldosivi win
25%
Draw
32%
Union Santa Fe win
43%
What our model expects
AldosiviPer gameUnion Santa FeNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.3
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Aldosivi clean sheet
29%
Union Santa Fe clean sheet
41%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
21% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Aldosivi 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded · Union Santa Fe 1.4 / 1.5 per game
Fouls 24.9
19% above a typical match · League average 21
Aldosivi 12.1 + Union Santa Fe 12.8 per game
Offsides 4.5
28% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Aldosivi 2.2 + Union Santa Fe 2.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
C. Tarragona
Union Santa Fe
24%
Shots
M. Estigarribia
Union Santa Fe
2.6
Aldosivi · on target
N. Cordero
Aldosivi
0.6
Union Santa Fe · on target
M. Estigarribia
Union Santa Fe
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Aldosivi
At home- 0.8
- pts/game
- 0.4
- scored
- 0.7
- conceded
- Scored in 9 of 21
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Union Santa Fe
Away- 0.92
- pts/game
- 1.31
- scored
- 1.77
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 23
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Aldosivi · Recent form
- D0-0Tigre
- L1-2Rosario Central
- L1-2Gimnasia L.P.
- L0-1Barracas Central
- D1-1Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe · Recent form
- L0-1San Lorenzo
- L1-2Central Cordoba de Santiago
- W2-1Lanus
- L0-2Gimnasia M.
- D2-2Platense
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?
Golazo's model makes Union Santa Fe the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 43%, and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.