Match preview
Nautico Recife vs Ceara prediction
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
14 in the table · 26 pts from 21
Ceara
16 in the table · 25 pts from 21
Tue, Aug 18, 08:30 PM
Recife
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Nautico Recife the more likely winner at 44%, against 26% for Ceara and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Nautico Recife have scored in 12 of 21 league games this season, Ceara in 13 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Nautico Recife win
44%
Draw
30%
Ceara win
26%
What our model expects
Nautico RecifePer gameCearaNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Nautico Recife clean sheet
36%
Ceara clean sheet
25%
What stands out
Fouls 25.8
23% above a typical match · League average 21
Nautico Recife 13.2 + Ceara 12.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Vinícius
Nautico Recife
37%
Shots
Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife
2.3
Nautico Recife · on target
Vinícius
Nautico Recife
1.1
Ceara · on target
Vina
Ceara
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Nautico Recife
At home- 1.4
- pts/game
- 0.9
- scored
- 0.8
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 21
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
Ceara
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.4
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 21
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Nautico Recife · Recent form
- D1-1Ponte Preta
- D1-1Atletico Goianiense
- D0-0Criciuma
- W2-1Londrina
- L1-2CRB
Ceara · Recent form
- W2-0Ponte Preta
- W4-3São Bernardo
- L0-1CRB
- D1-1America Mineiro
- D0-0Athletic Club
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Ceara?
Golazo's model makes Nautico Recife the more likely winner at 44%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Nautico Recife vs Ceara?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Nautico Recife vs Ceara?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.