Match preview
Juventude vs Fortaleza EC prediction
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2 in the table · 38 pts from 21
Fortaleza EC
3 in the table · 35 pts from 21
Sat, Aug 15, 05:30 PM
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Juventude the more likely winner at 43%, against 22% for Fortaleza EC and 35% for the draw. It projects 1.8 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%, and puts both teams scoring at 35%. Behind that: Juventude have scored in 15 of 21 league games this season, Fortaleza EC in 14 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Juventude win
43%
Draw
35%
Fortaleza EC win
22%
What our model expects
JuventudePer gameFortaleza ECNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.7
Total goals 1.8
Both teams score
35%
Over 2.5 goals
26%
Over 1.5 goals
54%
Juventude clean sheet
50%
Fortaleza EC clean sheet
34%
What stands out
Total goals 1.8
34% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Juventude 1.3 scored / 0.8 conceded · Fortaleza EC 1.1 / 1.2 per game
Fouls 25.6
22% above a typical match · League average 21
Juventude 14.1 + Fortaleza EC 11.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Pablo Roberto
Juventude
25%
Shots
J. Miritello
Fortaleza EC
1.9
Juventude · on target
Marcos Paulo
Juventude
0.9
Fortaleza EC · on target
Vitinho
Fortaleza EC
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Juventude
At home- 2.36
- pts/game
- 1.36
- scored
- 0.09
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 21
- Clean sheet in 91%
When their goals arrive
Fortaleza EC
Away- 0.91
- pts/game
- 0.55
- scored
- 1.09
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 21
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
Juventude · Recent form
- W1-0Novorizontino
- L0-1Atletico-MG
- D0-0Atletico-MG
- W1-0Avai
- L2-4Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC · Recent form
- D1-1Cuiaba
- W3-2Palmeiras
- L0-3Palmeiras
- W1-0Botafogo SP
- L1-2Vila Nova
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Juventude vs Fortaleza EC?
Golazo's model makes Juventude the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 35%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Juventude vs Fortaleza EC?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 18%. The model projects 1.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Juventude vs Fortaleza EC?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 35%, and over 2.5 goals at 26%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.