Match preview
São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP prediction
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
11 in the table · 30 pts from 21
Botafogo SP
13 in the table · 27 pts from 21
Fri, Aug 14, 06:30 PM
Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
The short answer
Golazo's model makes São Bernardo the more likely winner at 43%, against 28% for Botafogo SP and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 53%. Behind that: São Bernardo have scored in 17 of 21 league games this season, Botafogo SP in 13 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
São Bernardo win
43%
Draw
29%
Botafogo SP win
28%
What our model expects
São BernardoPer gameBotafogo SPNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.1
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
São Bernardo clean sheet
32%
Botafogo SP clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Fouls 27
29% above a typical match · League average 21
São Bernardo 11.3 + Botafogo SP 15.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
25%
Shots
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
1.8
São Bernardo · on target
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
1
Botafogo SP · on target
Léo Gamalho
Botafogo SP
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
São Bernardo
At home- 1
- pts/game
- 1.18
- scored
- 1.18
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 21
- Clean sheet in 27%
When their goals arrive
Botafogo SP
Away- 0.91
- pts/game
- 0.64
- scored
- 0.91
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 21
- Clean sheet in 27%
When their goals arrive
São Bernardo · Recent form
- W3-1Operario-PR
- L3-4Ceara
- L1-2Athletic Club
- D1-1Avai
- D2-2Cuiaba
Botafogo SP · Recent form
- W2-1America Mineiro
- L0-1Fortaleza EC
- W4-2Juventude
- D0-0Londrina
- D3-3Sport Recife
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP?
Golazo's model makes São Bernardo the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 53%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.