Match preview
Ceara vs Cuiaba prediction
Ceara
CuiabaCeara
16 in the table · 25 pts from 21
Cuiaba
15 in the table · 26 pts from 21
Sat, Aug 15, 05:30 PM
Fortaleza
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Ceara 34%, the draw 36%, Cuiaba 30%. It projects 1.8 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%, and puts both teams scoring at 35%. Behind that: Ceara have scored in 13 of 21 league games this season, Cuiaba in 29 of 38.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Ceara win
34%
Draw
36%
Cuiaba win
30%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 0.8
Total goals 1.8
Both teams score
35%
Over 2.5 goals
26%
Over 1.5 goals
54%
Ceara clean sheet
43%
Cuiaba clean sheet
40%
What stands out
Total goals 1.8
35% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Ceara 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded · Cuiaba 1.4 / 1.4 per game
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
16%
Shots
Vina
Ceara
2
Ceara · on target
Vina
Ceara
0.8
Cuiaba · on target
Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Ceara
At home- 1.36
- pts/game
- 1.09
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 21
- Clean sheet in 27%
When their goals arrive
Cuiaba
Away- 0.84
- pts/game
- 0.89
- scored
- 1.42
- conceded
- Scored in 29 of 38
- Clean sheet in 16%
When their goals arrive
Ceara · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
Cuiaba · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Ceara vs Cuiaba?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Ceara 34%, the draw 36%, Cuiaba 30%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Ceara vs Cuiaba?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 19%. The model projects 1.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Ceara vs Cuiaba?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 35%, and over 2.5 goals at 26%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.