Match preview

Ceara vs Cuiaba prediction

Ceara
v
Cuiaba
343630
CearaDrawCuiaba
Goals expectedBoth teams score35%Over 2.5 goals26%Total goals1.8
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Ceara

16 in the table · 25 pts from 21

Cuiaba

15 in the table · 26 pts from 21

Sat, Aug 15, 05:30 PM

Fortaleza

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Ceara 34%, the draw 36%, Cuiaba 30%. It projects 1.8 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%, and puts both teams scoring at 35%. Behind that: Ceara have scored in 13 of 21 league games this season, Cuiaba in 29 of 38.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Ceara win

34%

Draw

36%

Cuiaba win

30%

Most likely scorelines0019%1115%1014%

What our model expects

CearaPer gameCuiaba
1.36Points per game0.84
1.0Conceded1.4
1.1Scored0.9
0.9Expected goals0.8
0.0Corners0.0
0.0Cards0.0
0.0Shots0.0
0Possession0

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

0.9 0.8

Total goals 1.8

Both teams score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

26%

Over 1.5 goals

54%

Ceara clean sheet

43%

Cuiaba clean sheet

40%

What stands out

  • Total goals 1.8

    35% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Ceara 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded · Cuiaba 1.4 / 1.4 per game

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Vinicius Peixoto

Cuiaba

16%

Shots

Vina

Ceara

2

Ceara · on target

Vina

Ceara

0.8

Cuiaba · on target

Vinicius Peixoto

Cuiaba

1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Ceara

At home
1.36
pts/game
1.09
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 27%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Cuiaba

Away
0.84
pts/game
0.89
scored
1.42
conceded
  • Scored in 29 of 38
  • Clean sheet in 16%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Ceara · Recent form

No finished games on record yet.

Cuiaba · Recent form

No finished games on record yet.

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Ceara vs Cuiaba?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Ceara 34%, the draw 36%, Cuiaba 30%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Ceara vs Cuiaba?

The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 19%. The model projects 1.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Ceara vs Cuiaba?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 35%, and over 2.5 goals at 26%.

More Brasileirão Série B matches

All Brasileirão Série B fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.