Match preview
Criciuma vs Goias prediction
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
1 in the table · 40 pts from 21
Goias
12 in the table · 29 pts from 20
Sat, Aug 15, 03:00 PM
Brasileirão Série B
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Criciuma the more likely winner at 51%, against 19% for Goias and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%, and puts both teams scoring at 39%. Behind that: Criciuma have scored in 17 of 21 league games this season, Goias in 14 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Criciuma win
51%
Draw
30%
Goias win
19%
What our model expects
CriciumaPer gameGoiasNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.7
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Criciuma clean sheet
49%
Goias clean sheet
26%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
23% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Criciuma 1.1 scored / 0.8 conceded · Goias 1.0 / 1.3 per game
Offsides 4.4
26% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Criciuma 2.3 + Goias 2.1 per game
Fouls 24
14% above a typical match · League average 21
Criciuma 12.2 + Goias 11.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
E. García
Goias
21%
Shots
Kadu
Goias
1.9
Criciuma · on target
R. Otero
Criciuma
0.7
Goias · on target
E. García
Goias
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Criciuma
At home- 2.2
- pts/game
- 1.2
- scored
- 0.4
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 21
- Clean sheet in 60%
When their goals arrive
Goias
Away- 1.18
- pts/game
- 1.09
- scored
- 1.36
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 20
- Clean sheet in 18%
When their goals arrive
Criciuma · Recent form
- L0-2Athletic Club
- D0-0Nautico Recife
- W1-0Novorizontino
- W2-0Vila Nova
- W2-1Ponte Preta
Goias · Recent form
- L0-1America Mineiro
- D1-1Sport Recife
- W2-1Ponte Preta
- D2-2CRB
- W2-0Ceara
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Criciuma vs Goias?
Golazo's model makes Criciuma the more likely winner at 51%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Criciuma vs Goias?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 16%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Criciuma vs Goias?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 39%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.