Match preview
Sport Recife vs Londrina prediction
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
8 in the table · 32 pts from 21
Londrina
17 in the table · 20 pts from 20
Fri, Aug 14, 07:30 PM
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sport Recife the more likely winner at 51%, against 22% for Londrina and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Sport Recife have scored in 17 of 21 league games this season, Londrina in 13 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sport Recife win
51%
Draw
26%
Londrina win
22%
What our model expects
Sport RecifePer gameLondrinaNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 1
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Sport Recife clean sheet
35%
Londrina clean sheet
18%
What stands out
Corners 11.3
13% above a typical match · League average 10
Sport Recife win 5.0 per game, Londrina concede 6.7
Cards 5.1
13% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Sport Recife 2.7 + Londrina 2.4 per game
Fouls 26.1
24% above a typical match · League average 21
Sport Recife 14.0 + Londrina 12.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Bruno Santos
Londrina
28%
Shots
Perotti
Sport Recife
2
Sport Recife · on target
Perotti
Sport Recife
1
Londrina · on target
Bruno Santos
Londrina
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sport Recife
At home- 1.45
- pts/game
- 1.55
- scored
- 1.18
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 21
- Clean sheet in 27%
When their goals arrive
Londrina
Away- 0.8
- pts/game
- 1.2
- scored
- 1.7
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Sport Recife · Recent form
- W1-0Vila Nova
- D1-1Cuiaba
- D1-1Goias
- D2-2Operario-PR
- D3-3Botafogo SP
Londrina · Recent form
- L1-4Novorizontino
- L1-2Nautico Recife
- D0-0Botafogo SP
- D1-1America Mineiro
- W5-0CRB
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sport Recife vs Londrina?
Golazo's model makes Sport Recife the more likely winner at 51%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sport Recife vs Londrina?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sport Recife vs Londrina?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.