Match preview
Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova prediction
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
7 in the table · 32 pts from 21
Vila Nova
5 in the table · 34 pts from 21
Sat, Aug 15, 03:00 PM
Brasileirão Série B
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Atletico Goianiense the more likely winner at 41%, against 29% for Vila Nova and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 48%. Behind that: Atletico Goianiense have scored in 15 of 20 league games this season, Vila Nova in 15 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Atletico Goianiense win
41%
Draw
30%
Vila Nova win
29%
What our model expects
Atletico GoianiensePer gameVila NovaNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.1
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Atletico Goianiense clean sheet
35%
Vila Nova clean sheet
27%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
13% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Atletico Goianiense 1.1 scored / 0.9 conceded · Vila Nova 1.2 / 1.2 per game
Cards 3.9
13% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Atletico Goianiense 2.2 + Vila Nova 1.7 per game
Fouls 25.2
20% above a typical match · League average 21
Atletico Goianiense 12.1 + Vila Nova 13.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
36%
Shots
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
2.2
Atletico Goianiense · on target
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
1.1
Vila Nova · on target
Rafa Silva
Vila Nova
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Atletico Goianiense
At home- 1.73
- pts/game
- 1.36
- scored
- 0.91
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 20
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
Vila Nova
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0.82
- scored
- 1.27
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 21
- Clean sheet in 18%
When their goals arrive
Atletico Goianiense · Recent form
- D1-1Nautico Recife
- W3-1Operario-PR
- W1-0Cuiaba
- D0-0Athletic Club
- W1-0Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova · Recent form
- L0-1Sport Recife
- L0-2CRB
- W2-1Fortaleza EC
- L0-2Criciuma
- L0-1Juventude
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova?
Golazo's model makes Atletico Goianiense the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 48%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.