Match preview

Londrina vs Atletico Goianiense prediction

Londrina
v
Atletico Goianiense
352935
LondrinaDrawAtletico Goianiense
Goals expectedBoth teams score54%Over 2.5 goals48%Total goals2.6
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Londrina

17 in the table · 20 pts from 21

Atletico Goianiense

9 in the table · 32 pts from 21

Tue, Aug 18, 06:30 PM

Londrina

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Londrina 35%, the draw 29%, Atletico Goianiense 35%. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Londrina have scored in 13 of 21 league games this season, Atletico Goianiense in 16 of 21.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Londrina win

35%

Draw

29%

Atletico Goianiense win

35%

Most likely scorelines1114%009%019%

What our model expects

LondrinaPer gameAtletico Goianiense
LLLLDLast 5DWWDW
1.5Scored0.9
1.4Conceded1.1
6.1Corners4.8
13.8Shots11.7
1.20Points per game1.30
2.1Cards2.2
1.3Expected goals1.3
50Possession50

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.3 1.3

Total goals 2.6

Both teams score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Over 1.5 goals

74%

Londrina clean sheet

28%

Atletico Goianiense clean sheet

28%

What stands out

  • Offsides 4.1

    18% above a typical match · League average 3.5

    Londrina 1.9 + Atletico Goianiense 2.3 per game

Corners

League average 5

Londrina6.1
Atletico Goianiense4.8

Cards

League average 2.25

Londrina2.1
Atletico Goianiense2.2

Shots

League average 12.5

Londrina13.8
Atletico Goianiense11.7

Possession

Londrina50
Atletico Goianiense50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Bruno Santos

Londrina

36%

Shots

Gustavo Coutinho

Atletico Goianiense

2.2

Londrina · on target

Bruno Santos

Londrina

1

Atletico Goianiense · on target

Gustavo Coutinho

Atletico Goianiense

1.1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Londrina

At home
1.2
pts/game
1.5
scored
1.4
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 40%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Atletico Goianiense

Away
1.3
pts/game
0.9
scored
1.1
conceded
  • Scored in 16 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 20%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Londrina · Recent form

  • L1-2Sport Recife
  • L0-1Goias
  • L1-4Novorizontino
  • L1-2Nautico Recife
  • D0-0Botafogo SP

Atletico Goianiense · Recent form

  • D1-1Nautico Recife
  • W3-1Operario-PR
  • W1-0Cuiaba
  • D0-0Athletic Club
  • W1-0Fortaleza EC

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Londrina vs Atletico Goianiense?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Londrina 35%, the draw 29%, Atletico Goianiense 35%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Londrina vs Atletico Goianiense?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Londrina vs Atletico Goianiense?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

More Brasileirão Série B matches

All Brasileirão Série B fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.