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Goias vs Juventude prediction

Goias
v
Juventude
253441
GoiasDrawJuventude
Goals expectedBoth teams score37%Over 2.5 goals29%Total goals1.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Goias

8 in the table · 32 pts from 21

Juventude

2 in the table · 38 pts from 21

Tue, Aug 18, 08:35 PM

Goiania

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Juventude the more likely winner at 41%, against 25% for Goias and 34% for the draw. It projects 1.9 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%, and puts both teams scoring at 37%. Behind that: Goias have scored in 15 of 21 league games this season, Juventude in 15 of 21.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Goias win

25%

Draw

34%

Juventude win

41%

Most likely scorelines0017%0115%1114%

What our model expects

GoiasPer gameJuventude
WLDWDLast 5WLDWL
1.90Points per game1.20
0.8Expected goals1.1
1.0Scored0.8
2.0Cards2.3
5.3Corners4.8
52Possession48
12.1Shots12.5
1.1Conceded1.1

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

0.8 1.1

Total goals 1.9

Both teams score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

29%

Over 1.5 goals

57%

Goias clean sheet

34%

Juventude clean sheet

46%

What stands out

  • Total goals 1.9

    31% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Goias 1.0 scored / 1.3 conceded · Juventude 1.3 / 0.8 per game

  • Fouls 26.2

    25% above a typical match · League average 21

    Goias 12.1 + Juventude 14.1 per game

Corners

League average 5

Goias5.3
Juventude4.8

Cards

League average 2.25

Goias2
Juventude2.3

Shots

League average 12.5

Goias12.1
Juventude12.5

Possession

Goias52
Juventude48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Kadu

Goias

24%

Shots

Kadu

Goias

2

Goias · on target

E. García

Goias

1.2

Juventude · on target

Marcos Paulo

Juventude

0.9

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Goias

At home
1.9
pts/game
1
scored
1.1
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 50%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Juventude

Away
1.2
pts/game
0.8
scored
1.1
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 21
  • Clean sheet in 50%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Goias · Recent form

  • W1-0Londrina
  • L0-1America Mineiro
  • D1-1Sport Recife
  • W2-1Ponte Preta
  • D2-2CRB

Juventude · Recent form

  • W1-0Novorizontino
  • L0-1Atletico-MG
  • D0-0Atletico-MG
  • W1-0Avai
  • L2-4Botafogo SP

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Goias vs Juventude?

Golazo's model makes Juventude the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Goias vs Juventude?

The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 17%. The model projects 1.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Goias vs Juventude?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 37%, and over 2.5 goals at 29%.

More Brasileirão Série B matches

All Brasileirão Série B fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.