Match preview
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. prediction
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
11 in the table · 19 pts from 16
Sat, Aug 22, 03:00 PM
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Gimnasia L.P. the more likely winner at 48%, against 23% for Gimnasia M. and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Gimnasia L.P. have scored in 16 of 23 league games this season, Gimnasia M. in 13 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Gimnasia L.P. win
48%
Draw
29%
Gimnasia M. win
23%
What our model expects
Gimnasia L.P.Per gameGimnasia M.No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet
39%
Gimnasia M. clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Cards 5.5
22% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Gimnasia L.P. 2.9 + Gimnasia M. 2.6 per game
Offsides 2.5
27% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Gimnasia L.P. 1.4 + Gimnasia M. 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Módica
Gimnasia M.
27%
Shots
M. Zalazar
Gimnasia L.P.
2.2
Gimnasia L.P. · on target
M. Torres
Gimnasia L.P.
0.8
Gimnasia M. · on target
L. Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Gimnasia L.P.
At home- 1.9
- pts/game
- 1.4
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 23
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Gimnasia M.
Away- 0.6
- pts/game
- 0.5
- scored
- 1.6
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Gimnasia L.P. · Recent form
- L0-4Estudiantes L.P.
- W2-0Barracas Central
- W2-1Aldosivi
- W1-0River Plate
- L1-2Racing Club
Gimnasia M. · Recent form
- W3-1Talleres Cordoba
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba
- W2-0Union Santa Fe
- L0-1San Lorenzo
- W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?
Golazo's model makes Gimnasia L.P. the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.