Match preview
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR prediction
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
15 in the table · 26 pts from 21
Operario-PR
4 in the table · 35 pts from 21
Wed, Aug 19, 07:30 PM
Arena Pantanal
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Cuiaba the more likely winner at 38%, against 29% for Operario-PR and 33% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 42%. Behind that: Cuiaba have scored in 11 of 21 league games this season, Operario-PR in 17 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Cuiaba win
38%
Draw
33%
Operario-PR win
29%
What our model expects
CuiabaPer gameOperario-PRNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.9
Total goals 2
Both teams score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Over 1.5 goals
62%
Cuiaba clean sheet
39%
Operario-PR clean sheet
33%
What stands out
Total goals 2
24% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Cuiaba 1.0 scored / 1.1 conceded · Operario-PR 1.4 / 1.5 per game
Cards 3.9
13% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Cuiaba 2.0 + Operario-PR 1.9 per game
Fouls 25.5
21% above a typical match · League average 21
Cuiaba 12.2 + Operario-PR 13.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Boschilia
Operario-PR
20%
Shots
Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
2
Cuiaba · on target
Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
1
Operario-PR · on target
Boschilia
Operario-PR
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Cuiaba
At home- 1.36
- pts/game
- 0.82
- scored
- 0.73
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 21
- Clean sheet in 45%
When their goals arrive
Operario-PR
Away- 1.4
- pts/game
- 1.3
- scored
- 1.4
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 21
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
Cuiaba · Recent form
- D1-1Fortaleza EC
- D1-1Sport Recife
- L0-1Atletico Goianiense
- L0-2Juventude
- D2-2São Bernardo
Operario-PR · Recent form
- L1-3São Bernardo
- L1-3Atletico Goianiense
- W3-2Ponte Preta
- D2-2Sport Recife
- W2-1Novorizontino
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Cuiaba vs Operario-PR?
Golazo's model makes Cuiaba the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 33%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Cuiaba vs Operario-PR?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Operario-PR?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 42%, and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.