Match preview
Botafogo vs Cienciano prediction
Botafogo
Cienciano
Botafogo
Cienciano
Thu, Aug 20, 08:30 PM
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Botafogo the more likely winner at 42%, against 31% for Cienciano and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: Botafogo have scored in 7 of 7 league games this season, Cienciano in 7 of 10.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Botafogo win
42%
Draw
27%
Cienciano win
31%
What our model expects
BotafogoPer gameCiencianoBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.3
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Botafogo clean sheet
27%
Cienciano clean sheet
21%
What stands out
Cards 5.1
14% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Botafogo 2.7 + Cienciano 2.4 per game
Offsides 2.6
25% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Botafogo 1.1 + Cienciano 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
33%
Shots
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
3.4
Botafogo · on target
Matheus Martins
Botafogo
1.2
Cienciano · on target
A. Hohberg
Cienciano
1.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Botafogo
At home- 2.33
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0.67
- conceded
- Scored in 7 of 7
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Cienciano
Away- 0.25
- pts/game
- 0.25
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 7 of 10
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Botafogo · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
Cienciano · Recent form
- W6-1Botafogo
- L0-1Alianza Atletico
- W2-0Universitario
- W4-0Lanus
- L0-2Juan Pablo II College
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Botafogo vs Cienciano?
Golazo's model makes Botafogo the more likely winner at 42%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Botafogo vs Cienciano?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Cienciano?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
More Copa Sudamericana matches
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