Match preview
Athletic Club vs CRB prediction
Athletic Club
CRB
Athletic Club
11 in the table · 31 pts from 21
CRB
8 in the table · 32 pts from 21
Thu, Aug 20, 06:30 PM
Minas Gerais
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Athletic Club the more likely winner at 44%, against 28% for CRB and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 52%. Behind that: Athletic Club have scored in 15 of 21 league games this season, CRB in 17 of 21.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Athletic Club win
44%
Draw
29%
CRB win
28%
What our model expects
Athletic ClubPer gameCRBNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.1
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Athletic Club clean sheet
33%
CRB clean sheet
24%
What stands out
Offsides 4.5
28% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Athletic Club 2.9 + CRB 1.6 per game
Fouls 24.3
16% above a typical match · League average 21
Athletic Club 12.7 + CRB 11.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Mikael
CRB
30%
Shots
Mikael
CRB
2.8
Athletic Club · on target
Ronaldo Tavares
Athletic Club
1.1
CRB · on target
Mikael
CRB
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Athletic Club
At home- 1.73
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0.64
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 21
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
CRB
Away- 1.64
- pts/game
- 1.27
- scored
- 1.64
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 21
- Clean sheet in 27%
When their goals arrive
Athletic Club · Recent form
- W2-0Criciuma
- D1-1Ponte Preta
- W2-1São Bernardo
- D0-0Atletico Goianiense
- D0-0Ceara
CRB · Recent form
- W1-0Avai
- W2-0Vila Nova
- W1-0Ceara
- W2-1Nautico Recife
- D2-2Goias
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Athletic Club vs CRB?
Golazo's model makes Athletic Club the more likely winner at 44%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Athletic Club vs CRB?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Athletic Club vs CRB?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 52%, and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
More Brasileirão Série B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.