Match preview
NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos Piraeus
18 in the table · 11 pts from 8
Tue, Aug 11, 01:30 PM
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The short answer
Golazo's model makes NEC Nijmegen the more likely winner at 40%, against 28% for Olympiakos Piraeus and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: NEC Nijmegen have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, Olympiakos Piraeus in 0 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
NEC Nijmegen win
40%
Draw
32%
Olympiakos Piraeus win
28%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet
38%
Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet
30%
What stands out
match.offsides 4.4
26% above a typical match · League average 3.5
NEC Nijmegen 2.6 + Olympiakos Piraeus 1.8 per game
Total goals 2.2
19% below a typical match · League average 2.7
NEC Nijmegen 1.8 scored / 1.5 conceded · Olympiakos Piraeus 1.1 / 1.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
NEC Nijmegen
At home- Scored in 0 of 1
Olympiakos Piraeus
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
NEC Nijmegen · Recent form
- D0-0Olympiakos Piraeus
- L1-2Sevilla
- L0-1SV Elversberg
- W7-0Al-Fayha
- W3-1V-varen Nagasaki
Olympiakos Piraeus · Recent form
- D0-0NEC Nijmegen
- L2-3AZ Alkmaar
- L0-3Antwerp
- L0-1Ajax
- W3-1Fortuna Sittard
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Golazo's model makes NEC Nijmegen the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
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