Match preview
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris: projection vs result
Dinamo Zagreb
Kauno Žalgiris
5–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Dinamo Zagreb the more likely winner at 59%, against 18% for Kauno Žalgiris and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: Dinamo Zagreb have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Kauno Žalgiris in 3 of 5. It finished Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Kauno Žalgiris.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Dinamo Zagreb win
59%
Draw
23%
Kauno Žalgiris win
18%
What we said, and what happened
1 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.1Actual 5Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 57%Actual NoMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 60%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet
35%
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet
13%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
14% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Dinamo Zagreb 2.9 scored / 0.8 conceded · Kauno Žalgiris 1.5 / 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
20%
Shots
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
1.9
Dinamo Zagreb · on target
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Dinamo Zagreb
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 4
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Kauno Žalgiris
Away- 1.33
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2.33
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 5
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Dinamo Zagreb · Recent form
- W5-0Kauno Žalgiris
- W2-0NK Slaven Belupo
- W3-2FC Thun
- D1-1FC Thun
- D0-0LNZ Cherkasy
Kauno Žalgiris · Recent form
- L0-5Dinamo Zagreb
- W1-0KI Klaksvik
- D0-0KI Klaksvik
- W4-0Šiauliai
- W3-2Drita
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Golazo's model makes Dinamo Zagreb the more likely winner at 59%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
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