Match preview
Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty: projection vs result
Levski Sofia
Kairat Almaty
36 in the table · 1 pts from 8
1–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Levski Sofia the more likely winner at 45%, against 24% for Kairat Almaty and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: Levski Sofia have scored in 5 of 5 league games this season, Kairat Almaty in 3 of 5. It finished Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Levski Sofia win
45%
Draw
31%
Kairat Almaty win
24%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.2Actual 1Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 45%Actual NoCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 38%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 0.9
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Levski Sofia clean sheet
41%
Kairat Almaty clean sheet
27%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
18% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Levski Sofia 1.9 scored / 0.6 conceded · Kairat Almaty 1.7 / 1.0 per game
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Ricardinho
Kairat Almaty
14%
Shots
Edmilson
Kairat Almaty
1.5
Kairat Almaty · on target
Ricardinho
Kairat Almaty
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Levski Sofia
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 5
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Kairat Almaty
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0.67
- scored
- 0.67
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 5
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Levski Sofia · Recent form
- W1-0Kairat Almaty
- W3-0Septemvri Sofia
- D2-2Universitatea Craiova
- W2-1Lokomotiv Sofia
- W1-0Universitatea Craiova
Kairat Almaty · Recent form
- L0-1Levski Sofia
- W1-0Omonia Nicosia
- W2-1Ordabasy
- L0-1Omonia Nicosia
- W3-1Atyrau
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
Golazo's model makes Levski Sofia the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
More Champions League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.