Match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen: projection vs result
Olympiakos Piraeus
18 in the table · 11 pts from 8
NEC Nijmegen
0–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the more likely winner at 38%, against 30% for NEC Nijmegen and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: Olympiakos Piraeus have scored in 0 of 1 league games this season, NEC Nijmegen in 0 of 1. It finished Olympiakos Piraeus 0–0 NEC Nijmegen.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Olympiakos Piraeus win
38%
Draw
32%
NEC Nijmegen win
30%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.2Actual 0Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 45%Actual NoCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 37%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet
36%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet
31%
What stands out
match.offsides 4.4
26% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Olympiakos Piraeus 1.8 + NEC Nijmegen 2.6 per game
Total goals 2.2
19% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Olympiakos Piraeus 1.1 scored / 1.0 conceded · NEC Nijmegen 1.8 / 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Olympiakos Piraeus
At home- Scored in 0 of 1
NEC Nijmegen
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
Olympiakos Piraeus · Recent form
- D0-0NEC Nijmegen
- L2-3AZ Alkmaar
- L0-3Antwerp
- L0-1Ajax
- W3-1Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen · Recent form
- D0-0Olympiakos Piraeus
- L1-2Sevilla
- L0-1SV Elversberg
- W7-0Al-Fayha
- W3-1V-varen Nagasaki
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen?
Golazo's model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
More Champions League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.